Did you know that IQ and poverty have a surprisingly strong relationship? It might be your intelligence quotient, not your family’s wealth, that most strongly predicts your future economic situation.
According to a Harvard University study “The Bell Curve Review: IQ Best Indicates Poverty,” IQ is associated with poverty about three times more strongly than socioeconomic status (SES). What does this mean?
While about 30% of those in the lowest intelligence quotient group fall into poverty, only about 2% of those in the highest group become poor. This difference is so large that it’s hard to consider it coincidental.
However, this doesn’t mean “if you’re not smart, you’ll definitely become poor.” According to research, even people with average IQ can escape poverty about 90% of the time, even if their parents are unemployed.
Why is IQ so important? How can we improve children’s IQ? Can the cycle of poverty really be broken? This article will answer these questions.
Once again, personality researcher and author of Villain Encyclopedia, Tokiwa (@etokiwa999), will provide the explanation.
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目次
- 1 Latest Research Revealing the Relationship Between “IQ and Poverty”
- 1.1 Harvard University’s Shocking Research Results on IQ and Poverty
- 1.2 IQ and Poverty: 25 Years Since “The Bell Curve” Controversy—Re-verified Facts
- 1.3 Is There Really a Relationship Between Intelligence Quotient IQ and Poverty?
- 1.4 Reliability of Data Used in the Research
- 1.5 IQ and Poverty: The Surprising Relationship Between Cognitive Ability and Social Success
- 2 The Surprising Mechanism by Which IQ Predicts Poverty
- 2.1 The Striking Difference in Poverty Rates Between High and Low IQ
- 2.2 The Emergence of the “Cognitive Elite” and Economic Success
- 2.3 The Reason for Stronger Influence Than Socioeconomic Status (SES)
- 2.4 The Influence That Remains Even When Education Level Is Considered
- 2.5 The Specific Impact of IQ on Employment and Income
- 3 Which is More Important: Family Environment or IQ?
- 4 Impact of “IQ and Poverty” Research on Social Policy
- 5 In Conclusion
Latest Research Revealing the Relationship Between “IQ and Poverty”
Harvard University’s Shocking Research Results on IQ and Poverty
A new Harvard University study has shown shocking results.
Intelligence quotient (IQ) is the most powerful indicator for predicting poverty.
This study was conducted by Benjamin Palmer.
He published detailed analysis results in 2018.
According to the research, there is a clear correlation between IQ and poverty.
Surprisingly, IQ is associated with poverty about three times more strongly than socioeconomic status.
This is a discovery that greatly overturns conventional thinking.
Many experts believed that family environment was most important.
However, the data tells a different story.
This study surveyed over 12,000 young people.
They conducted a long-term longitudinal study of their lives.
The main findings were as follows:
- About 30% of the lowest IQ group was in poverty
- Only about 2% of the highest IQ group was in poverty
- IQ’s influence was greatest in every analysis method
Additionally, this study considers various factors.
For example, they also analyzed the effects of age and education level.
Even so, IQ’s influence remained the strongest.
These results have significant implications for social policy.
They show that differences in cognitive ability cannot be ignored when considering poverty countermeasures.
IQ and Poverty: 25 Years Since “The Bell Curve” Controversy—Re-verified Facts
Do you know about the book called “The Bell Curve”?
This book caused a major controversy in 1994.
The authors were researchers named Herrnstein and Murray.
They wrote about the relationship between IQ and social problems.
Many people reacted against this book’s claims.
This was because it emphasized the relationship between genetics and intelligence.
About 25 years have passed since then.
The current Harvard University study is re-examining this book.
Interestingly, the core parts seem to have been correct.
IQ is indeed strongly associated with poverty.
However, the new research uses more rigorous methods.
Statistical techniques have also been greatly improved.
The researchers conducted the following verifications:
- Analyzing data from various angles
- Confirming whether results remain unchanged under different conditions
- Also considering problems pointed out by critics
As a result, it was found that the relationship between IQ and poverty is not coincidental.
There is indeed a strong correlation between them.
However, this is not a simple causal relationship.
Complex social factors are also involved.
This re-verification teaches us the importance of scientific facts over emotional arguments.
Is There Really a Relationship Between Intelligence Quotient IQ and Poverty?
Can intelligence quotient really predict future poverty?
The answer is “yes.” However, it comes with conditions.
According to research data, people with low IQ are more likely to fall into poverty.
This is not merely a correlation, but serves as a strong predictor.
Particularly noteworthy were the results for people in the bottom 5% of IQ.
About 30% of them were in poverty.
On the other hand, only about 2% of the top 5% were in poverty.
This difference is so large that it’s hard to consider it coincidental.
So why is IQ such a powerful predictor?
First, high IQ is related to learning ability.
Second, problem-solving ability also tends to be higher.
Furthermore, the ability to make long-term plans is also involved.
These abilities lead to economic success.
However, there are several caveats:
- Predictions are at the group level, and individuals can be exceptions
- Environmental factors also have a major impact
- IQ alone does not determine destiny
Ultimately, IQ can be said to be a powerful clue for predicting the possibility of poverty.
However, this is a matter of probability, not determinism.
With social support, there is ample possibility that even those with low IQ can avoid poverty.
Reliability of Data Used in the Research
How reliable are these research results?
The data used is of very high quality.
It uses data called the “National Longitudinal Survey of Youth.”
This survey began in 1979.
It targeted as many as 12,686 young people.
They were between 14 and 22 years old when the survey began.
And they were tracked over a long period.
This is not just a temporary survey.
It is a “longitudinal study” that tracked changes over many years.
Therefore, causal relationship analysis becomes possible.
The “Armed Forces Qualification Test” was used to measure IQ.
This is known as a reliable IQ test.
Also, socioeconomic status was recorded in detail.
The strengths of this research lie in the following points:
- Very large sample size
- Long-term follow-up survey
- Simultaneous analysis of various variables
- Use of statistically rigorous methods
Of course, no perfect research exists.
However, this research can be said to be very reliable in light of scientific standards.
It meets high standards in both data quality and analytical methods.
This high reliability further enhances the importance of these research results.
IQ and Poverty: The Surprising Relationship Between Cognitive Ability and Social Success
There is a greater than expected relationship between cognitive ability and social success.
Cognitive ability refers to the power to process and understand information.
IQ tests measure this ability.
According to research, there is a strong connection between cognitive ability and income.
Furthermore, it is also related to unemployment risk.
People with high cognitive ability usually have higher incomes.
They also tend to have a lower probability of unemployment.
This is not simply a matter of educational background.
Even with the same educational background, differences due to cognitive ability emerge.
This tendency is particularly strong in the modern era of advancing technological innovation.
This is because complex jobs are increasing.
The relationship between social success and cognitive ability has the following aspects:
- High problem-solving ability
- Adaptability to new situations
- Ability to efficiently process complex information
- Able to make long-term plans
However, there is an important point here.
Cognitive ability alone is not the key to success.
Conscientiousness and interpersonal skills are also extremely important.
By combining these, the probability of success increases.
While cognitive ability is an important factor in social success, it doesn’t determine everything by itself.
The Surprising Mechanism by Which IQ Predicts Poverty
The Striking Difference in Poverty Rates Between High and Low IQ
There is a striking difference in poverty rates between people with high and low IQ.
According to research data, this difference is very pronounced.
The poverty rate for the lowest IQ group (bottom 5%) is about 30%.
Meanwhile, for the highest IQ group (top 5%), it’s only about 2%.
This difference is as much as 15 times.
This is too large a difference to be considered coincidental.
People with intermediate IQ also show gradual differences.
As IQ increases, poverty rates steadily decrease.
This relationship remains unchanged even when considering age and education.
Why does such a large difference occur?
There are multiple factors involved.
First, people with high IQ tend to succeed more easily in school education.
Second, they also tend to handle complex job training well.
Furthermore, their financial management abilities are often above average.
The influence of IQ related to poverty appears in forms like these:
- Differences in educational achievement
- Differences in career choices
- Income differences
- Differences in financial management
When these factors combine, the gap widens over time.
Having low IQ is not a cause of poverty, but a risk factor.
With appropriate support, this risk can be greatly reduced.
The difference in poverty rates between high and low IQ can be said to be an important indicator showing the need for social support.
The Emergence of the “Cognitive Elite” and Economic Success
A stratum called the “cognitive elite” is being formed in society.
This is a group of people with particularly high intellectual abilities.
They are establishing a unique position in modern society.
The authors of “The Bell Curve” focused attention on this phenomenon.
Due to technological innovation, the value of advanced cognitive abilities is increasing.
Human resources capable of solving complex problems are in demand.
The cognitive elite are first selected in educational institutions.
High-IQ students gather at top universities.
And after graduation, they tend to take high-income jobs.
This stratum gradually becomes socially separated as well.
Marriage between people with similar abilities is also increasing.
These trends are promoting “cognitive stratification.”
The characteristics of the cognitive elite include the following:
- IQ positioned in the top 5% or so
- Completed higher education
- Employed in professional and technical occupations
- Economically successful
- Have social connections with people of similar backgrounds
This phenomenon is not merely individual success.
It shows changes in social structure.
With the development of the knowledge economy, this trend is strengthening.
Social division based on cognitive ability is likely to continue in the future.
The emergence of the “cognitive elite” reflects structural changes in modern society and is one cause of economic disparity.
The Reason for Stronger Influence Than Socioeconomic Status (SES)
Why does IQ have a stronger influence on poverty than socioeconomic status?
Research shows that the influence of IQ is approximately three times that of SES.
This would be a surprising result for many people.
Socioeconomic status refers to a person’s social and economic position.
It is calculated from factors such as parental income, occupation, and education level.
Traditionally, this factor was considered to be the most important.
However, the data shows different results.
There are several reasons why IQ is so powerful.
First, IQ becomes almost fixed at a young age.
And it has long-term effects on subsequent life.
On the other hand, the environment of the family one is born into changes over time.
Also, IQ is related to many abilities.
These include learning ability, problem-solving ability, and adaptive ability.
These abilities work together in a complex manner.
The reasons why IQ has stronger influence than SES are as follows:
- It is stable in the long term
- It is related to diverse abilities
- It directly affects educational outcomes
- It becomes a factor that determines the range of career choices
However, this fact does not imply determinism.
Environmental factors are still important.
IQ can also be partially changed by environment.
Nutrition and educational environment in early childhood are particularly important.
Understanding why IQ is a powerful predictor will enable more effective poverty countermeasures.
The Influence That Remains Even When Education Level Is Considered
Even when education level is considered, the influence of IQ remains.
This is a particularly important finding in the research.
Many critics argued that “adjusting for education would eliminate the effects of IQ.”
However, the data refutes this.
Even among people with the same education level, differences due to IQ can be observed.
For example, even among university graduates, there are income differences based on IQ.
Why does this phenomenon occur?
It is because education and learning are different.
Education provides opportunities.
However, how those opportunities are utilized depends on individual ability.
People with high IQ tend to gain more from the same education.
They are also more likely to continue learning after obtaining their degrees.
The reasons why IQ’s influence remains even when education level is considered are as follows:
- There are differences in comprehension even with the same educational content
- There are differences in the ability to apply knowledge
- The efficiency of continuous learning differs
- Approaches to problem-solving are different
This fact provides important implications for educational policy.
Simply equalizing educational opportunities may not be sufficient.
Educational methods tailored to different cognitive abilities are also necessary.
However, it is also true that education can partially mitigate the influence of IQ.
Understanding the relationship between education and IQ will become the foundation for effective social policy.
The Specific Impact of IQ on Employment and Income
IQ has specific impacts on job hunting and income.
Research shows that people with higher IQ tend to find employment more easily.
It has also been found that they are more likely to earn above-average salaries.
Specifically, when IQ is one standard deviation (about 15 points) higher, income increases by approximately 10-15%.
This becomes a significant difference over a lifetime.
Cognitive ability is also evaluated in job interviews.
This is why many companies conduct aptitude tests.
Additionally, people with high IQ tend to have shorter periods of unemployment.
Adapting to new technologies is also relatively easy for them.
This is an important advantage especially in today’s era of rapid technological change.
In terms of income, the impact of IQ expands over time.
Even if the difference is small when young, it becomes large in the latter half of one’s career.
The specific mechanisms by which IQ affects employment and income are as follows:
- Ability to efficiently handle complex tasks
- Ability to quickly acquire new skills
- Ability to adapt to unpredictable situations
- Ability to develop long-term career strategies
However, IQ alone does not determine everything.
Factors such as interpersonal skills and conscientiousness are also very important.
Additionally, equality of opportunity remains a major challenge.
Even with high IQ, one cannot demonstrate their abilities without opportunities.
We must not forget that while intelligence quotient has an important impact on employment and income, it is only one of many factors.
Which is More Important: Family Environment or IQ?
Parents’ Social Status and Children’s Future
Parents’ social status does influence their children’s future.
However, that influence is not as strong as IQ.
What is parents’ social status?
It is a combination of parents’ income, occupation, and educational level.
Children with parents of high social status have advantages.
They have a high probability of receiving quality education.
Their healthcare is often comprehensive as well.
They also have rich social connections.
However, research shows that these advantages have limitations.
Even if parents’ social status is high, risks remain if the child’s IQ is low.
Conversely, even if parents’ status is low, there are opportunities if the child’s IQ is high.
According to data, children with average IQ can escape poverty with about a 90% probability even when their parents are unemployed.
The influence of parents’ social status manifests in the following ways:
- Quality and quantity of educational opportunities
- Health status and access to medical care
- Accumulation of cultural capital
- Breadth of social networks
These are important but not decisive.
The child’s own abilities also play a major role.
Parents’ social status and children’s IQ influence each other.
Parents with high status can often provide environments that promote their children’s IQ development.
Research has revealed that while parents’ social status influences children’s future, it does not match the influence of IQ.
Does the “Cycle of Poverty” Really Exist?
Does the “cycle of poverty” actually exist?
The answer is yes, but it is not absolute.
Research shows that children from poor families are more likely to become poor.
However, that probability is not as high as commonly believed.
According to data, even children from the poorest families escape poverty at a rate of about 70%.
Here, IQ plays an important role.
Children from poor families but with high IQ have a high escape rate.
On the other hand, even children from wealthy families risk falling into poverty if their IQ is low.
What does this mean?
The “cycle of poverty” exists, but it is not fate.
The main factors include:
- Disparities in educational opportunities
- Differences in health status
- Lack of social capital
- Differences in financial knowledge
- Presence or absence of role models
These factors tend to be passed down through generations.
However, personal characteristics like IQ intervene.
From a social policy perspective, this is an important finding.
Support that enhances children’s cognitive abilities might be very effective.
While the “cycle of poverty” does indeed exist, research has revealed that there is significant potential to break this cycle.
Average IQ and the Possibility of Escaping Poverty
People with average IQ also have sufficient potential to escape poverty.
This is a hopeful research finding.
Average IQ refers to the range of approximately 90-110 in IQ scores.
About 50% of the population falls within this range.
According to research, the poverty rate among people with average IQ is about 6%.
This is a figure close to the overall average.
In other words, even without exceptionally high IQ, the risk of poverty is low.
What’s even more important is the relationship with family background.
People with average IQ remain relatively stable regardless of their parents’ socioeconomic status.
Even if their parents are unemployed, about 90% can escape poverty.
This is a very encouraging figure.
The key points for people with average IQ to avoid poverty are as follows:
- Completing basic education with certainty
- Acquiring vocational training or specialized skills
- Maintaining stable employment
- Having basic financial management abilities
- Building healthy social networks
These do not require special talents.
They can be achieved through steady effort and basic skills.
As a social policy, support for this group is also important.
We should support them to complete their education and obtain stable employment.
Even people with average IQ have sufficient potential to escape poverty and lead stable lives with appropriate support and personal effort.
Complex Interactions Between Genetics and Environment
IQ formation involves complex interactions between genetics and environment.
The authors of “The Bell Curve” claimed that 40-80% of IQ is due to genetics.
This sparked much controversy.
However, modern science considers simple dichotomy inappropriate.
Genetics and environment are constantly interacting.
Genetic factors certainly exist.
This is also clear from twin studies.
On the other hand, environment also has a significant impact.
Early childhood environment is particularly important.
Poverty and malnutrition can potentially hinder IQ development.
Quality early education can also improve IQ.
The interaction between genetics and environment manifests as follows:
- Genetic predisposition changes in expression depending on environment
- Reactions differ based on genetic background even in the same environment
- Environmental adaptation ability itself is partially inherited
- People tend to choose environments that suit them
Understanding this complex interaction is important.
Simply asking “genetics or environment?” is inappropriate.
From a social policy perspective, there is room for environmental improvement.
We should support all children to obtain good developmental environments.
It is important to understand that genetics and environment are complexly intertwined, and IQ is not determined by either one alone.
Can IQ Be Improved Through Home Environment Enhancement?
IQ can potentially be improved through home environment enhancement.
This is a very important question from a policy perspective.
According to research, the answer is a conditional “yes.”
Environmental improvements in early childhood are particularly effective.
This is because children’s brains have high plasticity.
What specific environmental improvements are effective?
First, adequate nutrition is fundamental.
Brain development requires appropriate nutrients.
Next, intellectual stimulation is important.
This includes reading stories aloud and conversation.
Additionally, emotional stability is essential.
Low-stress environments promote learning.
Examples of effective home environment improvements are as follows:
- Providing nutritionally balanced meals
- Establishing reading habits
- Interactive parent-child relationships
- Stable daily life
- Opportunities for appropriate intellectual challenges
Research suggests that such improvements could lead to IQ increases of 3-7 points.
This might seem like a small number.
However, at the population level, it creates a significant difference.
Additionally, not only IQ but other abilities may also improve.
Home environment improvements have the potential to enhance intelligence quotient, particularly during early childhood, which can be an effective method for reducing future poverty risks.
Impact of “IQ and Poverty” Research on Social Policy
Can Educational Reform Be the Key to Solving Poverty?
Educational reform is not a complete key to solving poverty, but it is an important element.
“IQ and Poverty” research provides significant implications for educational policy.
Traditional educational reforms have focused on equality of opportunity.
However, research findings suggest that different perspectives are also necessary.
Children with different cognitive abilities require different approaches.
There are important points to consider in educational reform.
First is the importance of early education.
Brain development is particularly active during early childhood.
Next is individualized learning approaches.
Uniform educational methods have limited effectiveness.
Also, solid acquisition of basic academic skills is important.
Basic skills necessary for any job should be acquired.
Elements of effective educational reform are as follows:
- Provision of high-quality preschool education
- Instruction adapted to individual learning pace
- Thorough acquisition of basic academic skills
- Development of practical problem-solving abilities
- Provision of diverse career path options
Educational reform alone cannot solve poverty problems.
However, a properly designed educational system can make a significant difference.
Education that considers cognitive ability differences would be particularly effective.
Education that maximizes children’s potential is ideal.
Educational reform is not a complete solution to solving poverty, but when properly implemented, it has the potential to significantly reduce poverty risks.
Approaches to Social Support Considering Cognitive Ability Differences
Social support that considers cognitive ability differences is effective.
Research findings show the limitations of uniform support measures.
Providing the same support to everyone may be inefficient.
This is because the necessary support differs according to cognitive ability.
This is not discrimination, but the provision of individualized support.
For example, what do people with low cognitive ability need?
More concrete guidance might be effective.
Also, daily life support is important.
This includes support for money management and health management.
On the other hand, people with high cognitive ability need different support.
Providing opportunities is particularly important for them.
They need places where they can demonstrate their abilities.
Examples of social support according to cognitive ability include:
- Individualized vocational training programs
- Life support adapted to cognitive levels
- Creation of employment opportunities that utilize strengths
- Construction of flexible educational systems
- Mutual support systems in local communities
For such support, the balance between “ability-based support” and “needs-based support” is important.
We should aim for a society where all people can live with dignity.
Differences in cognitive ability should be viewed as diversity, not hierarchy.
A society where each person’s abilities can be utilized is ideal.
Social support that takes into account differences in cognitive ability will contribute to realizing a society where all people can maximize their potential.
Considering the Pros and Cons of Ability-Based Education
Ability-based education has both supporters and critics.
This debate is deeply connected to research on “IQ and poverty.”
Ability-based education is a method of grouping students by cognitive ability level.
This makes education tailored to individual learning paces possible.
However, problems have also been pointed out.
First, let’s look at the benefits of ability-based education.
Learners can study at their own pace.
Teachers can also provide instruction tailored to their target audience.
High-ability students don’t have to be bored.
Low-ability students are also freed from excessive pressure.
On the other hand, disadvantages also exist.
Separation by ability may strengthen social division.
Also, early ability assessments may sometimes be incorrect.
Negative effects on self-esteem are also a concern.
Different approaches to this problem include:
- Strengthening individualized instruction within the same class
- Ability-based grouping for specific subjects only
- Systems that allow flexible movement
- Collaborative learning in mixed-ability groups
- Diverse evaluation methods that utilize strengths
A balanced approach would be important.
Neither complete separation nor complete integration is ideal.
A flexible system that responds to children’s diverse needs is necessary.
In any case, all children should receive quality education.
When considering the pros and cons of ability-based education, flexible and diverse approaches are required, with maximizing the potential of all children as the top priority.
How to Give All Children Equal Opportunities
Giving all children equal opportunities is an important goal.
Research on “IQ and poverty” suggests a path toward this goal.
What are equal opportunities?
It’s not simply giving everyone the same thing.
It’s creating an environment where each person can demonstrate their potential abilities.
For this purpose, early intervention is effective.
This is because the first few years after birth are especially important for brain development.
Access to quality preschool education is essential.
Also, support for the home environment is an important element.
Support programs for parents are said to be highly effective.
Furthermore, health management cannot be overlooked.
Nutritional status and health conditions affect learning ability.
Specific measures for providing equal opportunities include:
- Universal quality preschool education
- Health and nutrition support for pregnant women and infants
- Parenting support programs for parents
- Enhanced individual support in schools
- Educational systems that evaluate diverse talents
Such approaches reduce disadvantages due to the environment one is born into.
All children can gain opportunities to develop their potential.
Equal opportunities are not just an ideal.
They are achievable goals through concrete policies.
To give all children equal opportunities, comprehensive support from early stages is necessary, which increases the possibility of breaking the cycle of poverty.
Future Social Design Based on Research Results
Research results on “IQ and poverty” provide important insights for future social design.
How should society be in the future?
Several directions emerge from this research.
First, the importance of a society that recognizes diversity.
Differences in cognitive ability exist as reality.
Social design based on this diversity is necessary.
Next is the construction of a comprehensive support system.
Support tailored to each person’s abilities and needs is important.
Also, balancing equality of opportunity and equality of outcome is a challenge.
Complete equality of outcome may be difficult.
However, ensuring minimum living standards is society’s responsibility.
Elements to consider in future social design include:
- Diverse work styles and evaluation systems
- Providing lifelong learning opportunities
- Establishing basic living guarantees
- Community-based mutual support
- Mechanisms to broadly distribute the benefits of technological innovation
Such social design aims for a society where not only the “cognitive elite” but all people can live with dignity.
Disparities based on IQ may not be completely eliminated.
However, it is possible to design a fair society based on that premise.
A society where everyone is recognized as a valuable being is the ideal.
In future social design based on research results on “IQ and poverty,” it is important to recognize diversity, build comprehensive support systems, and aim for a society where all people can live with dignity.
In Conclusion
We have examined the relationship between IQ and poverty, but what do these research results teach us?
What’s important is not knowing the fact that IQ strongly predicts poverty, but how to utilize that knowledge. IQ is not completely fixed and can potentially change due to environment, especially during early childhood.
Also, don’t forget the hopeful result that about 90% of people with average IQ can escape poverty. Cognitive ability is important, but it doesn’t solely determine one’s life.
What our society needs is a system that allows all people to live with dignity, while acknowledging differences in cognitive abilities. High-quality education from an early age, individualized support, and systems that value diverse talents are important.
What you can do is find ways to leverage your strengths and compensate for your weaknesses. And as a society as a whole, let’s aim for a society that recognizes diversity and where everyone can live authentically.

Writer & Supervisor: Eisuke Tokiwa
Personality Psychology Researcher / CEO, SUNBLAZE Inc.
As a child he experienced poverty, domestic abuse, bullying, truancy and dropping out of school — first-hand exposure to a range of social problems. He spent 10 years researching these issues and published Encyclopedia of Villains through Jiyukokuminsha. Since then he has independently researched the determinants of social problems and antisocial behavior (work, education, health, personality, genetics, region, etc.) and has published 2 peer-reviewed journal articles (Frontiers in Psychology, IEEE Access). His goal is to predict the occurrence of social problems. Spiky profile (WAIS-IV).
Expertise: Personality Psychology / Big Five / HEXACO / MBTI / Prediction of Social Problems
Researcher profiles: ORCID / Google Scholar / ResearchGate
Social & Books: X (@etokiwa999) / note / Amazon Author Page
